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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+3.33vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+4.62vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.44+1.27vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.16+2.61vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.89-0.48vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.67-0.91vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.29-3.43vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.00-3.72vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.77-1.43vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.69-4.90vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.49-2.98vs Predicted
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13Harvard University0.03-2.77vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-2.66-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Roger Williams University2.400.2%1st Place
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6.62Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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4.27Boston College2.440.2%1st Place
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7.61Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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5.52Fordham University1.890.1%1st Place
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6.09Yale University1.670.1%1st Place
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4.57Brown University2.290.2%1st Place
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5.28Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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8.57Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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6.1Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.490.0%1st Place
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10.23Harvard University0.030.0%1st Place
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12.8Columbia University-2.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 15.9% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.4% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 15.2% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 7.1% | 0.5% |
| Connor Bennett | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 15.4% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 1.1% |
| William George | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Horne | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 21.0% | 18.6% | 1.8% |
| Alexander Lee | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 43.0% | 4.2% |
| Emily Lo | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 4.0% | 92.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.