Race 4A

maisa-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sydney Bolger 29.3% 22.1% 19.4% 13.6% 7.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Patten 12.5% 11.8% 14.0% 15.8% 11.9% 11.8% 9.6% 7.3% 4.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Amanda Johnson 5.3% 6.0% 6.8% 7.3% 8.6% 11.6% 14.6% 14.7% 14.2% 10.2% 0.7%
Megan Magill 13.3% 14.7% 15.4% 13.8% 13.8% 11.0% 9.0% 5.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Stephanie Roble 15.3% 14.8% 14.1% 14.7% 13.0% 11.0% 8.3% 4.3% 3.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 8.5% 11.1% 11.5% 12.1% 13.3% 13.5% 11.5% 8.8% 7.2% 2.5% 0.0%
Ryann Hall 3.2% 5.0% 3.3% 4.4% 6.6% 7.9% 11.4% 14.9% 17.6% 22.1% 3.6%
Melissa Bermudez 2.8% 2.8% 3.6% 4.2% 8.0% 7.0% 10.4% 11.9% 18.5% 27.1% 3.7%
Meredith Carroll 3.6% 3.8% 3.5% 4.3% 6.3% 7.9% 9.5% 16.2% 17.3% 23.0% 4.6%
Marissa Lihan 5.9% 7.7% 8.0% 9.7% 10.4% 13.2% 12.7% 13.4% 12.0% 6.4% 0.6%
Jessie Shifalo 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 1.9% 2.5% 6.0% 86.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.