Race 10C

oberg

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Adrien Bellanger 5.9% 7.1% 7.1% 7.2% 9.3% 8.3% 8.2% 11.1% 10.3% 11.8% 9.0% 4.6% 0.1%
Adrian Winkelman 9.6% 10.3% 10.8% 11.0% 10.9% 10.7% 10.3% 8.4% 7.0% 5.7% 3.9% 1.4% 0.0%
William George 5.8% 8.3% 8.8% 8.9% 8.2% 10.0% 9.6% 10.5% 10.4% 9.0% 6.8% 3.5% 0.2%
Connor Bennett 9.4% 9.3% 9.3% 10.2% 11.2% 7.9% 10.7% 8.4% 9.8% 7.3% 4.6% 1.9% 0.0%
Katharine Doble 15.7% 12.4% 12.7% 10.9% 10.6% 11.3% 8.0% 6.5% 6.4% 3.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Drew Mastovsky 15.6% 15.3% 15.6% 11.2% 9.8% 8.9% 7.9% 6.0% 5.2% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Peter Busch 17.1% 15.0% 12.6% 12.5% 10.7% 8.8% 7.8% 7.5% 4.3% 2.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Pearl Lattanzi 3.8% 5.5% 4.9% 6.7% 5.5% 5.9% 9.5% 10.0% 11.2% 12.5% 15.3% 9.1% 0.1%
Christophe Chaumont 7.3% 7.0% 8.0% 8.3% 8.8% 10.6% 10.2% 9.1% 9.0% 9.6% 9.1% 2.7% 0.3%
Gavin Monaghan 3.4% 3.3% 3.6% 3.5% 4.5% 5.7% 6.3% 8.4% 8.7% 13.5% 19.7% 18.7% 0.7%
Alexander Lee 1.3% 0.7% 1.5% 2.1% 2.9% 3.9% 3.5% 4.1% 6.2% 9.0% 16.3% 44.1% 4.4%
Brooke Barry 4.9% 5.7% 5.1% 7.3% 7.4% 7.9% 7.8% 9.8% 11.4% 12.7% 10.5% 8.8% 0.7%
Emily Lo 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 4.1% 93.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.