Race 1A

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kenneth Corsig 10.3% 12.5% 12.1% 8.9% 9.8% 8.3% 8.1% 7.1% 6.2% 5.6% 3.9% 4.5% 1.7% 1.0%
Payne Donaldson 5.1% 5.7% 6.5% 6.1% 5.4% 5.8% 7.0% 5.9% 10.2% 7.8% 9.9% 9.6% 7.4% 7.6%
Lucia Loosbrock 4.8% 4.0% 4.4% 5.8% 4.1% 6.6% 4.6% 5.8% 8.2% 7.8% 9.2% 9.6% 13.3% 11.8%
Hayden Earl 14.0% 15.7% 12.2% 12.5% 9.7% 8.3% 6.8% 7.5% 5.5% 3.2% 2.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Jack Derry 2.9% 3.4% 3.9% 4.8% 5.2% 5.2% 6.3% 6.1% 7.2% 8.2% 8.1% 11.4% 12.2% 15.1%
Kyle Pfrang 9.2% 6.2% 8.4% 11.1% 8.4% 7.9% 9.5% 8.8% 7.1% 6.7% 5.6% 5.1% 4.0% 2.0%
John Majernik 4.7% 5.6% 6.0% 5.2% 5.3% 5.9% 5.7% 8.1% 8.1% 9.3% 7.8% 8.6% 11.1% 8.6%
Tanner Kelly 8.4% 10.5% 7.0% 7.8% 8.0% 7.8% 9.8% 7.8% 6.7% 6.7% 7.2% 5.6% 3.6% 3.1%
Michael Burns 7.1% 6.8% 5.3% 6.5% 8.1% 7.7% 9.3% 7.6% 9.0% 9.5% 7.9% 7.2% 4.7% 3.3%
Connell Phillipps 7.5% 6.1% 6.8% 8.9% 7.7% 9.1% 7.3% 7.8% 7.5% 9.0% 8.4% 6.3% 5.1% 2.5%
Trevor Davis 13.3% 10.3% 12.3% 7.6% 10.8% 9.0% 7.9% 8.9% 6.4% 4.0% 3.7% 3.1% 2.4% 0.3%
Madison Bashaw 6.8% 7.7% 8.6% 7.4% 8.6% 9.0% 8.8% 9.4% 6.6% 6.2% 6.9% 6.3% 3.9% 3.8%
Brooks Turcotte 2.6% 2.7% 3.5% 3.5% 3.6% 4.0% 3.9% 4.1% 5.4% 8.7% 9.2% 9.6% 14.9% 24.3%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.3% 2.8% 3.0% 3.9% 5.3% 5.4% 5.0% 5.1% 5.9% 7.3% 9.6% 12.1% 14.8% 16.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.