Race 2A

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Lucia Loosbrock 3.7% 3.4% 4.9% 6.6% 5.4% 5.6% 5.3% 8.0% 7.4% 6.6% 9.4% 11.5% 11.3% 10.9%
Payne Donaldson 4.4% 6.3% 5.7% 4.6% 7.4% 5.9% 6.5% 6.4% 8.5% 8.1% 10.2% 10.4% 7.6% 8.0%
Trevor Davis 12.6% 12.2% 10.9% 10.6% 9.3% 7.5% 10.1% 7.3% 6.4% 4.2% 4.5% 2.4% 1.5% 0.5%
Tanner Kelly 7.1% 9.4% 8.3% 7.1% 9.1% 8.5% 8.4% 8.3% 7.9% 7.1% 5.8% 6.3% 4.8% 1.9%
Hayden Earl 13.8% 15.2% 13.7% 12.0% 9.1% 8.5% 7.6% 5.9% 5.6% 4.0% 2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%
Jack Derry 3.9% 3.9% 4.0% 2.7% 4.4% 5.5% 5.5% 7.2% 7.1% 8.5% 9.5% 9.9% 13.7% 14.2%
Michael Burns 8.8% 7.3% 7.4% 7.8% 7.9% 7.2% 8.8% 8.0% 6.2% 8.5% 8.0% 5.8% 4.9% 3.4%
Kenneth Corsig 11.4% 11.3% 10.7% 10.9% 7.8% 9.1% 7.7% 6.8% 7.0% 5.6% 4.5% 3.7% 2.8% 0.7%
Kyle Pfrang 9.0% 6.7% 9.1% 7.5% 9.4% 9.3% 9.5% 8.8% 8.4% 7.1% 6.4% 4.1% 2.6% 2.1%
Madison Bashaw 7.4% 5.8% 9.2% 9.0% 7.4% 9.1% 9.3% 5.9% 7.4% 8.3% 7.2% 6.6% 5.2% 2.2%
John Majernik 4.9% 3.9% 3.3% 5.7% 6.6% 6.8% 5.1% 7.6% 6.4% 8.9% 9.2% 11.1% 9.9% 10.6%
Brooks Turcotte 2.6% 2.2% 2.7% 3.8% 3.0% 4.5% 3.3% 5.7% 5.9% 7.5% 9.3% 9.7% 15.4% 24.4%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.3% 3.5% 3.0% 4.0% 4.6% 4.4% 4.4% 6.1% 6.3% 7.7% 8.5% 10.8% 14.6% 18.8%
Connell Phillipps 7.1% 8.9% 7.1% 7.7% 8.6% 8.1% 8.5% 8.0% 9.5% 7.9% 5.5% 6.3% 4.9% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.