Race 3A

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Trevor Davis 13.0% 12.5% 11.8% 10.0% 10.0% 8.9% 7.2% 8.0% 4.6% 4.6% 3.8% 2.6% 2.5% 0.5%
Payne Donaldson 4.8% 6.5% 5.6% 6.0% 6.4% 5.4% 6.4% 8.0% 7.7% 9.3% 8.8% 9.7% 8.1% 7.3%
Michael Burns 6.7% 7.7% 7.6% 7.3% 6.7% 7.2% 7.8% 8.0% 8.6% 7.7% 9.0% 7.2% 5.0% 3.5%
Connell Phillipps 7.2% 7.1% 7.1% 8.7% 6.9% 9.0% 7.5% 10.1% 7.3% 7.2% 7.3% 6.8% 4.4% 3.4%
John Majernik 3.9% 3.6% 4.4% 6.2% 6.1% 6.9% 5.8% 6.5% 7.8% 9.0% 8.1% 10.3% 10.8% 10.6%
Kyle Pfrang 8.7% 6.8% 9.3% 8.7% 9.2% 8.9% 9.6% 7.7% 7.2% 7.1% 5.5% 5.3% 4.3% 1.7%
Kenneth Corsig 12.0% 10.8% 11.5% 11.3% 7.4% 9.0% 9.4% 8.7% 5.8% 4.9% 4.1% 2.4% 2.1% 0.6%
Madison Bashaw 7.7% 8.9% 7.9% 6.1% 9.2% 7.0% 9.8% 8.1% 8.1% 6.0% 6.8% 6.0% 5.4% 3.0%
Brooks Turcotte 3.7% 2.5% 1.9% 2.8% 3.5% 3.1% 4.8% 4.0% 5.9% 8.5% 8.2% 11.3% 14.9% 24.9%
Tanner Kelly 8.2% 6.4% 8.4% 7.8% 9.3% 10.3% 7.1% 7.9% 9.3% 7.3% 7.1% 5.6% 3.5% 1.8%
Jack Derry 3.0% 4.5% 3.2% 4.4% 4.1% 5.7% 5.8% 6.6% 7.5% 8.5% 9.3% 10.5% 13.0% 13.9%
Hayden Earl 14.1% 15.8% 12.7% 11.0% 11.0% 9.2% 7.1% 6.4% 3.6% 3.3% 2.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.2% 3.5% 3.3% 4.0% 4.3% 4.0% 4.8% 5.2% 8.1% 8.0% 8.9% 9.7% 14.2% 18.8%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.8% 3.4% 5.3% 5.7% 5.9% 5.4% 6.9% 4.8% 8.5% 8.6% 10.8% 10.4% 10.7% 9.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.