Race 4A

owen

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Hayden Earl 15.4% 16.5% 12.7% 11.4% 9.1% 8.8% 6.6% 5.6% 5.0% 2.9% 3.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.6%
Kyle Pfrang 10.1% 9.4% 10.0% 8.8% 8.3% 8.5% 8.8% 7.6% 7.6% 7.5% 5.4% 3.7% 3.0% 1.3%
Michael Burns 6.8% 8.0% 7.4% 6.8% 6.1% 7.8% 7.4% 9.0% 7.4% 8.6% 7.7% 8.5% 5.5% 3.0%
Trevor Davis 11.5% 12.0% 11.7% 10.6% 9.5% 9.7% 7.2% 8.0% 6.1% 5.1% 3.9% 2.6% 1.8% 0.3%
Kenneth Corsig 8.7% 9.8% 11.1% 11.6% 9.0% 8.7% 8.6% 8.6% 6.4% 5.9% 5.4% 2.8% 2.4% 1.0%
Payne Donaldson 4.7% 4.3% 4.1% 6.2% 4.8% 6.5% 8.5% 6.4% 8.0% 8.1% 10.1% 9.5% 8.4% 10.4%
John Majernik 5.1% 5.3% 6.2% 4.6% 5.6% 4.7% 6.7% 7.3% 8.4% 9.9% 7.0% 9.7% 11.0% 8.5%
Jack Derry 4.4% 4.0% 4.6% 4.9% 4.7% 4.9% 5.7% 5.8% 7.2% 7.6% 9.4% 10.1% 11.8% 14.9%
Madison Bashaw 8.6% 5.8% 7.9% 6.9% 9.8% 8.4% 9.1% 7.9% 7.5% 8.6% 6.5% 6.4% 4.6% 2.0%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.8% 3.8% 3.5% 5.0% 4.8% 5.9% 5.7% 6.5% 8.2% 8.4% 9.0% 11.3% 12.7% 11.4%
Brooks Turcotte 2.7% 2.0% 2.5% 2.6% 4.2% 4.9% 4.3% 4.7% 6.9% 5.8% 8.1% 11.6% 15.7% 24.0%
Tanner Kelly 8.0% 7.6% 7.6% 8.7% 11.2% 9.0% 7.0% 8.2% 7.8% 7.0% 5.8% 5.8% 3.2% 3.1%
Connell Phillipps 7.3% 8.6% 7.4% 7.9% 7.6% 7.6% 8.7% 8.8% 7.5% 7.2% 8.4% 6.5% 4.2% 2.3%
Elliott Mendenhall 2.9% 2.9% 3.3% 4.0% 5.3% 4.6% 5.7% 5.6% 6.0% 7.4% 9.9% 10.1% 15.1% 17.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.