Race 5A

maisa-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Megan Magill 12.8% 14.6% 17.4% 12.4% 14.7% 11.5% 8.0% 6.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Sydney Bolger 31.8% 22.3% 16.6% 13.4% 8.2% 4.8% 1.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Patten 11.3% 12.5% 13.0% 12.2% 13.3% 13.8% 10.6% 7.8% 3.9% 1.6% 0.0%
Stephanie Roble 12.7% 14.5% 13.2% 16.2% 13.7% 11.1% 9.3% 5.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Meredith Carroll 3.8% 3.0% 4.5% 5.1% 6.8% 7.6% 10.6% 12.7% 19.6% 23.4% 2.9%
Marissa Lihan 5.6% 7.2% 7.1% 9.7% 10.4% 10.7% 14.2% 13.8% 11.6% 9.1% 0.6%
Ryann Hall 3.5% 4.0% 3.8% 5.6% 5.4% 8.8% 11.0% 15.3% 16.8% 22.9% 2.9%
Lauren Turner 9.4% 11.4% 12.0% 14.0% 12.2% 11.9% 11.7% 8.3% 6.2% 2.8% 0.1%
Melissa Bermudez 2.7% 3.8% 3.6% 2.9% 5.6% 7.0% 9.4% 12.5% 20.0% 26.6% 5.9%
Amanda Johnson 6.0% 6.5% 8.6% 8.4% 9.4% 12.3% 12.3% 15.7% 13.3% 6.7% 0.8%
Jessie Shifalo 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 1.1% 1.4% 4.0% 5.1% 86.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.