Race 6A

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Payne Donaldson 5.0% 4.7% 5.2% 5.9% 6.4% 6.4% 6.6% 8.0% 8.0% 9.1% 8.4% 9.5% 7.6% 9.2%
John Majernik 4.6% 4.6% 5.9% 6.1% 5.6% 5.8% 6.3% 6.6% 8.5% 7.5% 9.2% 11.2% 10.3% 7.8%
Brooks Turcotte 3.3% 3.1% 2.3% 3.4% 4.4% 4.9% 3.9% 4.2% 5.3% 6.2% 8.4% 9.9% 14.3% 26.4%
Kenneth Corsig 9.1% 11.9% 11.1% 8.8% 9.5% 9.0% 8.6% 8.2% 7.3% 5.2% 5.5% 3.4% 1.5% 0.9%
Hayden Earl 14.1% 14.4% 14.7% 10.7% 9.7% 8.1% 7.5% 6.9% 5.0% 3.4% 3.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Michael Burns 7.0% 5.9% 6.7% 7.6% 6.8% 8.3% 8.3% 7.8% 7.8% 8.7% 7.8% 6.4% 7.2% 3.7%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.2% 3.3% 4.2% 4.9% 4.7% 5.2% 4.6% 6.0% 5.6% 8.4% 7.8% 10.5% 13.7% 17.9%
Madison Bashaw 9.0% 8.3% 7.4% 8.3% 6.8% 8.7% 9.0% 6.2% 7.7% 6.8% 7.8% 6.6% 4.6% 2.8%
Jack Derry 4.1% 3.8% 3.2% 3.3% 5.5% 4.0% 6.1% 6.2% 7.9% 8.8% 8.9% 11.1% 13.6% 13.5%
Kyle Pfrang 8.0% 8.2% 9.0% 9.7% 9.0% 8.8% 7.4% 8.0% 7.8% 7.2% 6.7% 5.2% 4.0% 1.0%
Tanner Kelly 9.0% 7.4% 7.5% 8.8% 7.7% 7.4% 9.1% 9.7% 7.7% 6.0% 6.3% 5.9% 4.7% 2.8%
Connell Phillipps 6.5% 7.9% 7.6% 7.7% 8.5% 7.5% 8.3% 7.9% 8.8% 8.7% 6.0% 6.1% 5.4% 3.1%
Trevor Davis 13.5% 12.2% 10.1% 9.8% 9.0% 10.4% 8.0% 8.6% 5.2% 5.2% 3.0% 3.0% 1.4% 0.6%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.6% 4.3% 5.1% 5.0% 6.4% 5.5% 6.3% 5.7% 7.4% 8.8% 10.6% 10.3% 10.9% 10.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.