Race 8A

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kyle Pfrang 8.3% 9.4% 11.3% 7.8% 9.3% 8.7% 7.9% 8.2% 6.7% 6.4% 4.6% 5.6% 3.9% 1.9%
Madison Bashaw 8.4% 8.2% 9.3% 8.2% 7.2% 8.2% 8.6% 8.8% 7.9% 7.7% 6.4% 4.6% 3.9% 2.6%
John Majernik 5.1% 4.8% 4.8% 6.2% 4.9% 5.8% 4.6% 8.2% 6.3% 9.8% 8.9% 9.3% 11.8% 9.5%
Kenneth Corsig 10.1% 12.1% 9.6% 9.9% 8.7% 9.1% 9.6% 7.1% 7.5% 5.5% 4.4% 3.3% 2.4% 0.7%
Jack Derry 2.7% 3.1% 4.5% 4.8% 5.2% 5.6% 5.5% 6.6% 6.6% 8.9% 8.8% 10.6% 13.7% 13.4%
Hayden Earl 15.0% 14.3% 12.2% 10.8% 11.0% 9.7% 6.2% 5.6% 6.1% 3.5% 2.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Connell Phillipps 7.8% 8.6% 8.6% 7.6% 7.7% 7.4% 9.5% 8.7% 7.9% 7.2% 5.7% 6.2% 4.4% 2.7%
Tanner Kelly 8.7% 8.9% 8.1% 7.7% 9.5% 8.4% 7.4% 7.5% 7.4% 6.7% 7.9% 4.4% 4.6% 2.8%
Trevor Davis 11.7% 11.2% 10.2% 11.9% 9.9% 8.7% 9.6% 6.8% 7.1% 5.2% 3.4% 2.3% 1.3% 0.7%
Michael Burns 6.7% 6.2% 6.5% 8.6% 6.9% 6.6% 9.3% 8.1% 7.7% 6.4% 9.6% 7.8% 6.3% 3.3%
Payne Donaldson 5.6% 3.6% 4.2% 4.6% 6.1% 8.1% 6.1% 7.3% 8.1% 9.1% 9.7% 9.4% 9.2% 8.9%
Brooks Turcotte 2.6% 2.4% 2.6% 2.5% 4.6% 4.1% 4.0% 4.9% 6.4% 7.1% 10.3% 10.4% 13.0% 25.1%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.3% 3.2% 4.1% 3.7% 3.6% 4.0% 5.4% 6.6% 6.1% 7.6% 8.2% 11.9% 13.2% 19.1%
Lucia Loosbrock 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 5.7% 5.4% 5.6% 6.3% 5.6% 8.2% 8.9% 9.3% 12.3% 11.5% 9.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.