Race 9A

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Hayden Earl 16.2% 15.0% 14.8% 11.0% 9.6% 8.7% 6.2% 6.0% 3.9% 3.6% 2.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.4%
Kenneth Corsig 12.2% 11.3% 10.7% 10.8% 9.4% 9.4% 8.2% 7.9% 6.5% 6.2% 3.2% 2.4% 1.0% 0.8%
Tanner Kelly 8.2% 8.8% 8.7% 8.1% 7.9% 9.3% 9.0% 7.9% 7.2% 7.4% 7.6% 5.5% 3.3% 1.1%
John Majernik 3.3% 5.4% 5.4% 5.2% 6.0% 6.0% 5.5% 8.0% 7.9% 10.2% 8.3% 12.3% 9.6% 6.9%
Madison Bashaw 7.2% 7.0% 7.5% 10.0% 7.5% 8.0% 9.1% 8.3% 7.9% 7.9% 7.7% 5.5% 4.6% 1.8%
Payne Donaldson 4.7% 4.1% 5.1% 5.3% 5.6% 6.1% 8.2% 7.9% 8.7% 8.1% 10.2% 9.6% 9.1% 7.3%
Connell Phillipps 8.4% 9.4% 7.5% 7.7% 8.3% 9.0% 8.7% 8.3% 7.7% 7.2% 6.7% 5.6% 3.6% 1.9%
Brooks Turcotte 3.2% 3.1% 3.2% 4.1% 4.0% 3.9% 4.6% 5.1% 5.8% 7.6% 9.2% 11.1% 14.2% 20.9%
Michael Burns 6.9% 5.8% 7.2% 7.5% 8.1% 8.1% 9.6% 8.3% 9.2% 8.0% 8.1% 6.8% 4.2% 2.2%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.1% 2.9% 3.1% 2.5% 4.4% 5.5% 5.0% 6.3% 6.4% 8.1% 9.5% 12.1% 15.4% 15.7%
Jack Derry 3.2% 4.0% 3.8% 4.8% 5.0% 5.3% 6.3% 6.3% 8.8% 8.1% 10.0% 9.8% 13.6% 11.0%
Kyle Pfrang 8.9% 8.2% 9.7% 9.9% 9.9% 8.3% 8.0% 8.1% 7.2% 6.8% 6.2% 4.2% 3.0% 1.6%
Trevor Davis 12.6% 12.6% 10.9% 10.6% 11.9% 8.8% 7.8% 5.3% 7.2% 5.3% 3.5% 1.5% 1.3% 0.7%
Morgan TerMaat 1.9% 2.4% 2.4% 2.5% 2.4% 3.6% 3.8% 6.3% 5.6% 5.5% 7.4% 12.0% 16.5% 27.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.