Race 10A

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jack Derry 4.0% 3.6% 4.3% 4.5% 5.6% 6.4% 5.8% 7.2% 8.1% 8.4% 10.3% 9.7% 11.4% 10.7%
Michael Burns 7.2% 9.3% 7.3% 7.5% 7.9% 7.2% 7.9% 10.2% 7.6% 8.0% 8.2% 5.8% 3.9% 2.0%
Hayden Earl 16.8% 14.9% 13.3% 10.2% 10.1% 8.5% 7.5% 6.5% 5.8% 3.4% 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.2%
John Majernik 3.3% 4.7% 6.5% 4.3% 7.0% 6.6% 5.8% 7.1% 7.7% 9.6% 8.1% 10.7% 11.3% 7.3%
Tanner Kelly 7.0% 8.8% 7.1% 11.1% 9.0% 8.1% 7.3% 7.8% 8.2% 8.0% 7.6% 4.4% 3.4% 2.2%
Madison Bashaw 7.9% 5.9% 8.6% 9.3% 7.8% 7.3% 9.0% 9.6% 7.5% 8.1% 6.5% 5.9% 4.2% 2.4%
Trevor Davis 14.0% 13.7% 11.6% 10.8% 9.0% 9.0% 8.7% 6.4% 6.4% 4.1% 3.7% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Kyle Pfrang 9.1% 10.0% 9.1% 7.8% 9.8% 8.1% 9.1% 7.3% 6.6% 7.3% 6.1% 5.2% 4.0% 0.5%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.7% 3.1% 2.8% 3.3% 4.2% 4.3% 4.6% 4.8% 8.3% 8.3% 10.2% 12.7% 13.0% 16.7%
Payne Donaldson 4.7% 3.3% 5.5% 5.4% 5.5% 7.1% 6.5% 8.7% 9.4% 7.8% 9.4% 10.7% 10.2% 5.8%
Brooks Turcotte 2.3% 2.6% 2.9% 3.3% 3.4% 4.5% 4.9% 6.0% 5.7% 8.0% 9.4% 10.5% 15.6% 20.9%
Connell Phillipps 6.8% 7.1% 8.2% 9.0% 8.2% 8.0% 9.2% 8.3% 6.9% 8.3% 7.5% 6.5% 3.2% 2.8%
Kenneth Corsig 11.5% 11.0% 10.4% 10.6% 9.7% 9.6% 9.6% 6.0% 6.8% 5.1% 4.1% 3.5% 1.3% 0.8%
Morgan TerMaat 1.7% 2.0% 2.4% 2.9% 2.8% 5.3% 4.1% 4.1% 5.0% 5.6% 7.4% 11.8% 17.3% 27.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.