Race 11A

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Payne Donaldson 5.1% 4.6% 4.8% 6.0% 7.4% 6.1% 6.9% 8.6% 8.0% 7.2% 9.2% 9.6% 8.9% 7.6%
Madison Bashaw 8.5% 8.9% 8.0% 8.6% 6.8% 8.6% 7.4% 8.9% 8.3% 8.4% 6.0% 5.0% 4.5% 2.1%
Trevor Davis 11.8% 12.1% 12.3% 9.8% 9.5% 8.3% 9.1% 6.8% 7.1% 5.6% 3.6% 2.0% 1.5% 0.5%
Connell Phillipps 6.5% 8.2% 6.9% 7.4% 9.2% 7.3% 8.3% 6.8% 8.6% 8.4% 9.0% 5.9% 4.7% 2.8%
Elliott Mendenhall 2.8% 2.6% 2.8% 3.4% 4.7% 5.1% 5.8% 4.7% 6.8% 6.4% 10.3% 10.7% 14.6% 19.3%
Kenneth Corsig 10.8% 9.8% 10.2% 10.0% 9.7% 9.5% 6.9% 8.5% 6.6% 5.3% 5.0% 4.2% 2.7% 0.8%
Michael Burns 8.0% 7.9% 6.6% 8.4% 7.2% 8.1% 8.1% 8.1% 8.3% 6.6% 8.1% 5.9% 5.9% 2.8%
Jack Derry 4.5% 3.6% 5.4% 4.0% 3.7% 5.5% 6.5% 5.6% 5.0% 9.6% 9.4% 10.2% 10.8% 16.2%
Brooks Turcotte 3.5% 1.9% 2.6% 3.3% 3.8% 2.7% 3.2% 5.8% 6.3% 6.8% 9.8% 11.0% 16.0% 23.3%
Hayden Earl 13.3% 15.6% 13.5% 12.2% 9.8% 9.4% 7.3% 6.3% 4.5% 3.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.3%
Tanner Kelly 8.9% 6.8% 7.6% 9.6% 7.4% 8.5% 9.3% 8.2% 7.1% 7.4% 6.1% 6.0% 4.1% 3.0%
Kyle Pfrang 8.3% 8.3% 10.0% 7.8% 10.1% 8.0% 10.0% 7.2% 7.6% 5.8% 5.3% 5.5% 4.2% 1.9%
John Majernik 4.0% 5.6% 4.5% 4.8% 4.9% 6.0% 5.7% 8.7% 9.1% 9.0% 7.1% 11.6% 9.7% 9.3%
Lucia Loosbrock 4.0% 4.1% 4.8% 4.7% 5.8% 6.9% 5.5% 5.8% 6.7% 9.8% 8.7% 11.6% 11.5% 10.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.