Race 12A

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kenneth Corsig 11.1% 11.9% 10.9% 10.0% 8.5% 9.5% 7.9% 7.9% 6.3% 4.3% 3.7% 4.7% 2.3% 1.0%
Trevor Davis 14.3% 11.7% 11.0% 11.5% 8.6% 8.8% 9.0% 7.7% 6.0% 4.8% 2.2% 2.1% 1.5% 0.8%
Payne Donaldson 4.5% 5.2% 5.3% 6.2% 7.2% 5.0% 5.2% 6.6% 8.3% 8.4% 10.2% 9.9% 10.2% 7.8%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.0% 3.9% 5.4% 5.3% 4.5% 6.8% 5.6% 6.0% 7.5% 8.0% 10.2% 10.4% 11.1% 12.3%
Hayden Earl 12.6% 16.2% 13.9% 10.2% 9.9% 8.9% 7.5% 6.7% 5.4% 3.5% 2.5% 1.1% 1.4% 0.2%
John Majernik 5.0% 4.7% 3.5% 4.2% 4.9% 5.5% 7.0% 8.4% 8.8% 8.2% 8.5% 8.9% 10.8% 11.6%
Jack Derry 3.9% 5.2% 4.3% 5.0% 5.2% 5.4% 5.9% 5.6% 8.6% 7.5% 9.0% 10.7% 11.3% 12.4%
Connell Phillipps 7.8% 8.3% 8.0% 7.5% 7.8% 7.0% 7.8% 8.5% 7.9% 8.1% 6.6% 6.2% 5.0% 3.5%
Kyle Pfrang 9.7% 6.6% 9.1% 7.6% 9.3% 9.5% 9.7% 7.7% 7.5% 7.6% 7.1% 4.5% 2.6% 1.5%
Madison Bashaw 7.7% 5.8% 7.7% 8.1% 8.7% 8.1% 9.2% 7.7% 6.5% 9.3% 8.1% 7.1% 3.0% 3.0%
Michael Burns 7.1% 6.7% 6.6% 7.2% 8.1% 7.8% 8.1% 8.2% 7.3% 8.7% 7.3% 6.6% 5.9% 4.4%
Tanner Kelly 6.9% 8.6% 8.5% 9.7% 8.1% 9.1% 8.6% 8.7% 6.7% 7.3% 6.1% 4.1% 4.6% 3.0%
Brooks Turcotte 3.0% 2.7% 3.1% 2.3% 4.6% 3.8% 3.5% 4.8% 7.1% 7.1% 9.6% 9.8% 15.9% 22.7%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.4% 2.5% 2.7% 5.2% 4.6% 4.8% 5.0% 5.5% 6.1% 7.2% 8.9% 13.9% 14.4% 15.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.