Race 13A

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tanner Kelly 8.1% 8.8% 8.9% 8.9% 9.5% 8.0% 6.7% 9.2% 7.4% 6.4% 5.6% 6.2% 3.5% 2.8%
Kenneth Corsig 11.4% 11.7% 9.7% 9.9% 10.9% 8.7% 8.0% 8.6% 7.5% 4.3% 4.2% 2.3% 1.6% 1.2%
Trevor Davis 12.7% 12.2% 11.9% 10.4% 9.0% 8.0% 8.5% 7.6% 5.9% 5.1% 3.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.7%
Jack Derry 2.9% 3.2% 5.2% 4.6% 4.8% 5.6% 5.8% 5.5% 8.1% 8.1% 8.8% 10.2% 12.2% 15.0%
John Majernik 3.9% 4.4% 4.8% 4.8% 6.6% 6.0% 5.6% 6.9% 7.7% 8.1% 8.2% 10.8% 12.5% 9.7%
Payne Donaldson 4.7% 4.4% 4.9% 5.3% 4.8% 5.7% 8.1% 6.9% 8.6% 8.7% 10.5% 8.2% 10.1% 9.1%
Madison Bashaw 8.9% 9.2% 7.0% 9.2% 7.5% 8.6% 8.6% 7.0% 7.8% 8.4% 6.0% 5.4% 4.2% 2.2%
Connell Phillipps 7.9% 7.2% 8.1% 7.7% 8.7% 7.4% 7.9% 6.7% 7.5% 8.4% 6.8% 7.2% 5.3% 3.2%
Michael Burns 7.3% 5.9% 6.3% 6.2% 9.2% 7.3% 9.0% 9.2% 7.1% 8.3% 9.3% 6.7% 4.8% 3.4%
Hayden Earl 13.8% 14.1% 15.2% 12.0% 8.3% 10.4% 7.2% 6.1% 4.7% 3.4% 2.3% 1.3% 1.1% 0.1%
Kyle Pfrang 9.1% 7.6% 8.0% 10.5% 8.2% 8.5% 8.7% 7.6% 8.9% 6.2% 6.4% 4.5% 4.3% 1.5%
Elliott Mendenhall 2.7% 3.2% 3.6% 3.1% 3.1% 4.9% 5.3% 6.0% 6.1% 8.1% 11.6% 11.4% 12.3% 18.6%
Lucia Loosbrock 4.0% 4.9% 4.5% 4.5% 4.9% 5.3% 5.9% 7.2% 7.9% 9.3% 9.9% 9.5% 11.6% 10.6%
Brooks Turcotte 2.6% 3.2% 1.9% 2.9% 4.5% 5.6% 4.7% 5.5% 4.8% 7.2% 6.8% 13.1% 15.3% 21.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.