Race 14A

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Connell Phillipps 7.4% 7.8% 8.7% 7.9% 8.7% 7.8% 7.1% 7.7% 8.7% 7.2% 6.7% 5.8% 5.7% 2.8%
Michael Burns 7.1% 9.1% 6.4% 7.6% 7.9% 7.5% 8.1% 8.2% 7.3% 10.1% 7.9% 4.8% 4.8% 3.2%
Hayden Earl 15.5% 15.8% 13.6% 8.8% 10.5% 8.2% 7.4% 5.9% 6.6% 4.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
Jack Derry 2.8% 3.4% 5.1% 5.4% 3.8% 5.9% 5.4% 7.3% 6.8% 7.5% 8.8% 11.5% 13.0% 13.3%
Payne Donaldson 3.9% 4.3% 5.4% 5.7% 6.7% 6.1% 7.2% 6.2% 7.4% 8.7% 9.1% 10.0% 12.0% 7.3%
Tanner Kelly 8.1% 6.8% 9.0% 8.4% 9.4% 7.6% 6.9% 8.9% 8.5% 6.7% 6.9% 5.8% 4.3% 2.7%
Kyle Pfrang 10.2% 9.2% 9.6% 9.7% 8.0% 8.0% 8.1% 8.4% 7.9% 6.4% 5.6% 5.0% 2.3% 1.6%
John Majernik 4.8% 5.3% 5.0% 5.5% 5.1% 5.0% 7.4% 5.7% 7.2% 8.5% 9.3% 11.0% 9.4% 10.8%
Kenneth Corsig 11.3% 8.8% 10.1% 9.9% 10.1% 11.0% 8.3% 7.9% 6.2% 6.5% 4.9% 2.7% 1.4% 0.9%
Madison Bashaw 6.9% 7.9% 6.6% 7.5% 9.1% 8.0% 8.3% 7.7% 8.8% 8.4% 7.7% 6.4% 4.3% 2.4%
Elliott Mendenhall 2.9% 3.0% 2.5% 4.0% 3.1% 5.2% 5.6% 6.4% 6.0% 6.6% 9.5% 10.8% 13.4% 21.0%
Trevor Davis 11.8% 11.6% 10.9% 11.4% 10.0% 9.4% 8.1% 6.1% 5.6% 5.4% 3.6% 3.3% 2.1% 0.7%
Lucia Loosbrock 4.7% 4.3% 4.4% 4.9% 4.3% 4.9% 6.9% 7.0% 7.7% 8.8% 9.9% 10.1% 12.1% 10.0%
Brooks Turcotte 2.6% 2.7% 2.7% 3.3% 3.3% 5.4% 5.2% 6.6% 5.3% 5.1% 8.1% 11.9% 14.7% 23.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.