Race 2B

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ben Mueller 16.3% 15.5% 11.9% 11.9% 9.9% 8.6% 7.4% 4.4% 5.3% 3.4% 2.6% 1.4% 1.1% 0.3%
Everett Botwinick 6.4% 8.5% 6.5% 7.7% 7.5% 7.0% 7.2% 8.5% 8.3% 9.7% 8.1% 5.8% 4.8% 4.0%
Ryan Potter 4.7% 3.7% 5.1% 5.6% 4.5% 5.8% 4.4% 5.9% 8.2% 9.3% 9.0% 10.6% 11.8% 11.4%
Eva Ermlich 9.5% 11.5% 10.1% 9.4% 8.6% 10.2% 8.5% 7.2% 6.1% 7.1% 4.7% 3.8% 2.2% 1.1%
Robert Ziman 3.8% 3.9% 5.6% 4.7% 6.1% 6.5% 6.7% 6.5% 7.3% 8.3% 8.9% 10.6% 11.4% 9.7%
Patrick Dolan 8.7% 8.1% 9.1% 10.4% 8.6% 8.3% 9.0% 8.8% 7.2% 6.1% 5.5% 5.0% 3.4% 1.8%
George Higham 12.3% 11.2% 11.3% 9.9% 9.4% 8.5% 7.1% 9.3% 6.6% 5.0% 4.0% 2.4% 2.2% 0.8%
Luke Zylinski 8.4% 8.4% 8.8% 7.3% 7.9% 8.7% 8.6% 7.5% 8.0% 6.0% 8.4% 4.8% 4.3% 2.9%
Cole Woodworth 11.1% 9.4% 11.9% 9.5% 11.6% 8.5% 9.3% 7.5% 6.3% 6.0% 4.6% 2.6% 0.9% 0.8%
Tiare Sierra 5.2% 5.8% 5.0% 6.2% 7.8% 7.0% 7.6% 8.7% 8.9% 6.7% 9.2% 8.6% 8.1% 5.2%
Ben Hosford 2.5% 3.0% 2.7% 3.7% 3.6% 4.8% 5.5% 5.7% 5.4% 6.7% 8.5% 12.3% 15.1% 20.5%
Lily Flack 3.4% 2.7% 3.6% 3.7% 4.5% 5.2% 6.1% 6.1% 8.1% 9.0% 9.3% 10.0% 11.6% 16.7%
Lucija Ruzevic 4.9% 5.3% 5.8% 5.6% 5.2% 6.3% 7.0% 9.1% 8.1% 9.6% 8.8% 9.5% 7.7% 7.1%
Patrick Modin 2.8% 3.0% 2.6% 4.4% 4.8% 4.6% 5.6% 4.8% 6.2% 7.1% 8.4% 12.6% 15.4% 17.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.