Race 3B

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Eva Ermlich 10.4% 11.1% 11.7% 9.2% 9.2% 8.5% 7.6% 9.2% 6.0% 6.1% 4.1% 2.8% 2.5% 1.6%
Ben Mueller 16.9% 15.1% 12.8% 10.9% 10.3% 9.5% 8.2% 4.7% 4.5% 2.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.3%
Robert Ziman 4.9% 3.7% 5.8% 5.8% 5.0% 5.4% 6.2% 6.2% 8.3% 8.7% 7.4% 10.5% 12.7% 9.4%
Luke Zylinski 7.1% 7.8% 8.5% 8.8% 8.2% 8.7% 10.2% 7.0% 8.3% 7.0% 8.0% 4.8% 3.3% 2.3%
Tiare Sierra 4.7% 5.5% 6.7% 7.2% 6.6% 8.0% 6.7% 8.5% 6.9% 8.8% 7.4% 10.6% 7.2% 5.2%
George Higham 10.0% 10.0% 10.7% 10.2% 8.9% 9.8% 7.8% 8.2% 6.6% 5.8% 5.9% 3.7% 1.7% 0.7%
Ben Hosford 3.2% 3.3% 3.5% 4.1% 4.9% 5.0% 5.0% 4.6% 7.1% 7.4% 8.9% 9.8% 13.8% 19.4%
Patrick Dolan 9.6% 10.4% 8.2% 8.6% 9.3% 7.8% 8.8% 7.0% 6.9% 7.7% 6.2% 4.8% 3.0% 1.7%
Patrick Modin 3.7% 2.7% 2.2% 3.1% 3.8% 4.5% 4.3% 5.5% 7.1% 8.1% 8.3% 11.6% 15.8% 19.3%
Lily Flack 3.6% 2.9% 2.7% 3.5% 5.1% 5.0% 4.9% 8.1% 7.5% 8.0% 9.2% 9.0% 14.1% 16.4%
Ryan Potter 3.6% 4.3% 3.8% 5.0% 4.4% 5.7% 6.4% 7.1% 7.5% 9.5% 9.0% 10.6% 10.0% 13.1%
Cole Woodworth 10.9% 11.0% 10.8% 11.8% 9.6% 8.2% 9.8% 6.9% 6.5% 4.9% 3.6% 3.6% 1.6% 0.8%
Everett Botwinick 6.8% 7.2% 6.3% 6.1% 7.6% 7.6% 7.8% 10.3% 8.4% 7.7% 8.6% 6.3% 6.4% 2.9%
Lucija Ruzevic 4.6% 5.0% 6.3% 5.7% 7.1% 6.3% 6.3% 6.7% 8.4% 7.9% 10.5% 10.9% 7.4% 6.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.