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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.03+4.74vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+4.45vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.17+5.66vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.44+3.81vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+4.96vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+3.57vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.54+0.15vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.43-3.31vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.08+0.01vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.05-4.15vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.06-5.14vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.76-2.06vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.27-4.75vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.90-7.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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8.66U. S. Naval Academy1.170.0%1st Place
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7.81Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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9.57St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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7.15Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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4.69Tufts University2.430.2%1st Place
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9.01University of Vermont1.080.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Pennsylvania2.050.1%1st Place
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5.86Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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9.94SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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8.25Cornell University1.270.0%1st Place
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6.07Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Robert Ziman | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% |
| Patrick Modin | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 16.2% | 20.4% |
| Lily Flack | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 16.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 16.1% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Potter | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.9% |
| Benjamin Honig | 9.6% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| George Higham | 12.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Ben Hosford | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 20.7% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% |
| Patrick Dolan | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.