Race 6B

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Patrick Dolan 8.7% 10.6% 10.0% 9.7% 8.7% 8.6% 7.9% 7.4% 7.4% 6.2% 5.2% 4.9% 3.0% 1.7%
Patrick Modin 2.6% 3.6% 4.3% 4.1% 4.3% 4.5% 4.7% 5.8% 6.8% 7.4% 9.3% 10.1% 14.0% 18.5%
Ben Mueller 16.6% 15.4% 12.4% 11.0% 9.1% 8.4% 8.2% 5.5% 5.7% 3.5% 2.4% 1.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Robert Ziman 3.5% 4.6% 5.6% 5.2% 5.5% 6.2% 5.9% 7.2% 6.6% 10.8% 9.0% 9.6% 10.9% 9.4%
Lucija Ruzevic 4.1% 4.8% 4.7% 6.9% 6.1% 6.7% 6.8% 6.9% 7.4% 8.7% 8.9% 9.8% 9.4% 8.8%
Ryan Potter 4.3% 4.1% 3.9% 3.5% 5.6% 5.4% 6.9% 6.6% 7.2% 8.6% 9.4% 10.5% 11.4% 12.6%
Eva Ermlich 12.4% 10.6% 11.2% 9.8% 9.7% 7.6% 7.4% 8.2% 7.9% 4.9% 4.4% 3.1% 1.6% 1.2%
Luke Zylinski 8.3% 9.1% 8.3% 8.9% 7.9% 7.3% 8.4% 9.1% 5.9% 7.2% 7.7% 5.2% 4.4% 2.3%
George Higham 10.8% 9.6% 10.8% 9.6% 9.3% 12.5% 6.8% 7.0% 8.1% 5.4% 4.9% 2.5% 1.7% 1.0%
Tiare Sierra 5.9% 4.5% 5.4% 6.8% 7.7% 6.5% 8.1% 7.8% 9.6% 8.4% 8.5% 8.6% 7.7% 4.5%
Benjamin Honig 11.0% 9.7% 9.7% 9.7% 9.8% 8.9% 8.6% 8.7% 6.8% 5.6% 4.3% 3.5% 3.0% 0.7%
Everett Botwinick 5.6% 6.3% 7.4% 6.6% 6.8% 8.3% 8.9% 8.8% 7.5% 8.1% 6.8% 8.2% 4.9% 5.8%
Lily Flack 3.3% 4.3% 3.4% 4.4% 4.2% 4.4% 5.6% 6.1% 7.5% 8.6% 9.2% 11.7% 11.8% 15.5%
Ben Hosford 2.9% 2.8% 2.9% 3.8% 5.3% 4.7% 5.8% 4.9% 5.6% 6.6% 10.0% 11.3% 15.5% 17.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.