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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+4.68vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.43+2.48vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.13+2.52vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.44+3.79vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.03+1.01vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.54+1.56vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-0.55vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+1.38vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.90-2.74vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.27-1.52vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.76-0.97vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.17-3.31vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.08-4.16vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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4.48Tufts University2.430.2%1st Place
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5.52University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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7.79Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.01Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.56Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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9.38St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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6.26Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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8.48Cornell University1.270.0%1st Place
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10.03SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Naval Academy1.170.0%1st Place
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8.84University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Higham | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Ben Mueller | 16.9% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Cole Woodworth | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Luke Zylinski | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Lily Flack | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 17.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 20.4% |
| Robert Ziman | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% |
| Ryan Potter | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% |
| Patrick Modin | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.