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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.13+4.45vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.90+4.01vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.17+5.74vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.43+0.72vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.06+0.92vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.27+2.48vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.54+0.14vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+1.80vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+0.56vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.76+0.05vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.44-3.15vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.03-6.13vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.08-4.15vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-7.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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6.01Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Naval Academy1.170.0%1st Place
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4.72Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.92Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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8.48Cornell University1.270.0%1st Place
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7.14Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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9.56St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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10.05SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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7.85Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.87Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Woodworth | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Dolan | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Robert Ziman | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 14.5% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| George Higham | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% |
| Everett Botwinick | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Patrick Modin | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 20.3% |
| Lily Flack | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 15.1% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 20.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Potter | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.