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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.43+3.70vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.44+5.61vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.06+2.79vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.03+1.94vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.76+5.12vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+3.72vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.17+1.49vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.05-2.14vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.54-1.39vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.08-0.84vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-2.33vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.27-3.51vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.90-6.77vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-7.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7Tufts University2.430.2%1st Place
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7.61Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.79Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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5.94Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.12SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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9.72St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Naval Academy1.170.0%1st Place
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5.86University of Pennsylvania2.050.1%1st Place
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7.61Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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8.49Cornell University1.270.0%1st Place
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6.23Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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6.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 15.9% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% |
| George Higham | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 16.1% | 23.8% |
| Lily Flack | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 18.8% |
| Robert Ziman | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% |
| Benjamin Honig | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% |
| Everett Botwinick | 7.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Ryan Potter | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 11.9% |
| David Pearce | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% |
| Patrick Dolan | 8.8% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Luke Zylinski | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.