Race 10B

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
George Higham 10.8% 11.4% 10.2% 10.2% 9.2% 9.1% 8.0% 7.5% 6.1% 5.5% 3.9% 4.6% 2.3% 1.2%
Robert Ziman 3.7% 5.8% 5.3% 4.8% 6.8% 5.5% 5.9% 8.1% 6.3% 7.9% 9.7% 10.5% 10.1% 9.6%
Luke Zylinski 8.2% 8.7% 8.0% 8.0% 6.6% 7.7% 8.1% 10.2% 6.6% 6.9% 8.3% 5.7% 5.3% 1.7%
Eva Ermlich 8.9% 10.5% 10.8% 9.2% 10.3% 8.5% 8.8% 7.3% 6.1% 6.3% 6.2% 3.5% 2.6% 1.0%
Ben Mueller 14.2% 14.4% 13.0% 12.0% 10.1% 8.5% 6.1% 6.9% 6.0% 3.5% 2.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.5%
Everett Botwinick 6.6% 5.3% 6.3% 6.8% 7.3% 8.3% 7.3% 7.5% 8.2% 8.1% 7.6% 7.8% 6.9% 6.0%
Benjamin Honig 12.6% 10.5% 11.8% 9.7% 9.4% 8.2% 8.8% 6.4% 6.2% 5.9% 4.3% 2.7% 2.5% 1.0%
Lily Flack 4.3% 3.1% 4.2% 4.5% 4.2% 5.1% 5.7% 5.5% 5.6% 7.3% 8.5% 9.9% 13.4% 18.7%
Patrick Dolan 8.9% 8.0% 8.4% 9.4% 8.2% 9.6% 9.9% 7.4% 8.6% 6.7% 5.9% 3.7% 3.4% 1.9%
Tiare Sierra 6.0% 5.1% 4.7% 7.4% 6.4% 7.2% 8.2% 7.2% 8.6% 7.0% 8.5% 9.6% 9.2% 4.9%
Lucija Ruzevic 4.7% 5.1% 4.1% 5.5% 6.1% 6.2% 7.2% 6.2% 8.7% 8.5% 9.4% 9.5% 9.5% 9.3%
Ryan Potter 3.6% 4.4% 4.2% 3.5% 5.3% 6.0% 6.1% 7.4% 7.0% 10.3% 7.5% 10.6% 9.7% 14.4%
Ben Hosford 3.1% 2.6% 3.3% 4.1% 3.9% 3.5% 4.6% 4.9% 7.6% 8.6% 7.5% 9.6% 15.1% 21.6%
David Pearce 4.4% 5.1% 5.7% 4.9% 6.2% 6.6% 5.3% 7.5% 8.4% 7.5% 10.2% 10.8% 9.2% 8.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.