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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.17+7.67vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.90+4.12vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.43+1.70vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+2.91vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.08+4.16vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.44+1.98vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+1.34vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.13-2.41vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+0.65vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.54-2.36vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.03-4.93vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.27-3.48vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.76-3.03vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.06-8.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.67U. S. Naval Academy1.170.0%1st Place
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6.12Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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4.7Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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7.98Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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5.59University of Pennsylvania2.130.1%1st Place
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9.65St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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7.64Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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6.07Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.52Cornell University1.270.0%1st Place
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9.97SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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5.69Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ziman | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 14.6% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Ryan Potter | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 13.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% |
| David Pearce | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% |
| Cole Woodworth | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Lily Flack | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 17.5% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 10.6% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 22.1% |
| George Higham | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.