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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.90+5.24vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.17+6.49vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.05+2.78vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.27+4.49vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.44+2.95vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.06-0.04vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.54+0.21vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.08+0.90vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.43-4.25vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.76+0.12vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.03-5.03vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-1.95vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-4.51vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Naval Academy1.170.0%1st Place
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5.78University of Pennsylvania2.050.1%1st Place
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8.49Cornell University1.270.0%1st Place
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7.95Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.96Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.21Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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8.9University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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4.75Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.12SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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5.97Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.05St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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6.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Dolan | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Robert Ziman | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% |
| Benjamin Honig | 11.3% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% |
| George Higham | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Ryan Potter | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 15.0% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ben Hosford | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 22.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 10.7% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 22.1% |
| David Pearce | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.