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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.03+4.85vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.43+2.54vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.54+4.49vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+4.55vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.17+3.82vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.05-0.03vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.08+1.72vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.27+0.34vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.06-3.16vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.44-2.07vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.90-4.64vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.76-2.00vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-6.30vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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4.54Tufts University2.430.2%1st Place
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7.49Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Naval Academy1.170.0%1st Place
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5.97University of Pennsylvania2.050.1%1st Place
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8.72University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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8.34Cornell University1.270.1%1st Place
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5.84Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.93Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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6.36Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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10.0SUNY Maritime College0.760.0%1st Place
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6.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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9.9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 16.7% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| David Pearce | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.4% |
| Robert Ziman | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% |
| Benjamin Honig | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Potter | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.5% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% |
| George Higham | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.3% |
| Patrick Dolan | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Ben Hosford | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 22.3% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.4% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.