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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+2.31vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.41+1.36vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.56-0.01vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.84-1.50vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.13+0.54vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+0.05vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.67+0.82vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.68-0.21vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.12-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
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3.36University of Rhode Island1.410.1%1st Place
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2.99Roger Williams University1.560.2%1st Place
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2.5University of Rhode Island1.840.3%1st Place
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5.54University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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6.05University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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7.82Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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7.79Middlebury College-1.680.0%1st Place
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5.64Fairfield University-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 18.4% | 17.7% | 20.4% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Polek | 14.7% | 21.2% | 19.2% | 19.6% | 14.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 22.8% | 21.3% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 13.6% | 5.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 31.5% | 24.2% | 21.1% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 15.9% | 22.3% | 18.9% | 12.1% | 3.7% |
| Marshall Rodes | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 21.0% | 25.7% | 17.3% | 4.8% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 13.3% | 27.5% | 45.0% |
| Dalyan Yet | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 12.5% | 28.7% | 43.5% |
| Jane Matthews | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 16.7% | 22.5% | 21.1% | 13.1% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.