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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+2.32vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.41+1.36vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.84-0.42vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.56-1.11vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.67+2.70vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.13-0.38vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-0.93vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.12-2.34vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.68-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
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3.36University of Rhode Island1.410.1%1st Place
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2.58University of Rhode Island1.840.3%1st Place
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2.89Roger Williams University1.560.2%1st Place
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7.7Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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5.62University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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6.07University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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5.66Fairfield University-0.120.0%1st Place
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7.8Middlebury College-1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 17.9% | 18.3% | 19.3% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Polek | 14.9% | 20.6% | 18.9% | 21.0% | 13.4% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 29.1% | 25.8% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 23.9% | 21.7% | 21.4% | 16.5% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 12.9% | 27.3% | 41.8% |
| Sean Lund | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 22.2% | 21.8% | 12.4% | 3.0% |
| Marshall Rodes | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 13.6% | 19.6% | 25.3% | 17.5% | 6.1% |
| Jane Matthews | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 16.4% | 21.7% | 20.1% | 14.0% | 3.7% |
| Dalyan Yet | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 27.2% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.