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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.84+1.60vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.41+1.32vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.560.00vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.13+1.59vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+0.94vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.67+1.75vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.12-1.30vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.68-0.20vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.33-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6University of Rhode Island1.840.3%1st Place
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3.32University of Rhode Island1.410.2%1st Place
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3.0Roger Williams University1.560.2%1st Place
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5.59University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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5.94University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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7.75Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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5.7Fairfield University-0.120.0%1st Place
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7.8Middlebury College-1.680.0%1st Place
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3.3University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 28.6% | 25.4% | 20.0% | 14.4% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Polek | 16.5% | 19.8% | 19.9% | 18.9% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 22.5% | 21.2% | 20.8% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 16.8% | 22.5% | 20.7% | 11.0% | 4.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 18.9% | 24.4% | 15.0% | 6.8% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 12.7% | 29.3% | 41.6% |
| Jane Matthews | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 9.7% | 16.3% | 21.6% | 22.5% | 13.4% | 3.1% |
| Dalyan Yet | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 29.6% | 44.4% |
| Adam Strobridge | 19.2% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 20.6% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.