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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+2.34vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.13+3.83vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.56+0.02vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.84-1.49vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+0.95vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.12-0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.41-3.80vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.68-0.22vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.67-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
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5.83University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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3.02Roger Williams University1.560.2%1st Place
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2.51University of Rhode Island1.840.3%1st Place
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5.95University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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5.61Fairfield University-0.120.0%1st Place
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3.2University of Rhode Island1.410.2%1st Place
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7.78Middlebury College-1.680.0%1st Place
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7.77Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 17.6% | 18.6% | 18.1% | 19.9% | 13.8% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 17.8% | 21.8% | 23.3% | 13.2% | 4.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 22.1% | 20.3% | 20.3% | 18.0% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 28.9% | 28.7% | 19.5% | 12.6% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marshall Rodes | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 18.7% | 23.3% | 15.5% | 7.1% |
| Jane Matthews | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 17.5% | 21.6% | 22.6% | 11.5% | 2.8% |
| John Polek | 19.7% | 18.7% | 19.5% | 19.2% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dalyan Yet | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 30.6% | 42.5% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 12.7% | 28.2% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.