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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+2.32vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.84+0.71vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.41+0.18vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.56-1.12vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.68+2.70vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+0.06vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.12-1.34vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.13-2.30vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.67-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
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2.71University of Rhode Island1.840.2%1st Place
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3.18University of Rhode Island1.410.2%1st Place
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2.88Roger Williams University1.560.2%1st Place
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7.7Middlebury College-1.680.0%1st Place
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6.06University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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5.66Fairfield University-0.120.0%1st Place
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5.7University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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7.78Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 17.9% | 18.3% | 18.9% | 18.8% | 14.6% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 24.3% | 27.6% | 20.4% | 14.7% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Polek | 20.4% | 18.2% | 19.5% | 18.7% | 14.1% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 24.4% | 20.7% | 22.4% | 16.5% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dalyan Yet | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 13.1% | 26.6% | 42.2% |
| Marshall Rodes | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 13.8% | 19.9% | 24.8% | 18.6% | 5.1% |
| Jane Matthews | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 23.7% | 19.6% | 13.7% | 3.4% |
| Sean Lund | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 21.9% | 13.6% | 4.2% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 26.1% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.