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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+2.34vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.84+0.72vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.41+0.21vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-0.12+1.51vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.56-2.04vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.13-0.37vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-0.92vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.67-0.23vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.68-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
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2.72University of Rhode Island1.840.3%1st Place
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3.21University of Rhode Island1.410.2%1st Place
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5.51Fairfield University-0.120.0%1st Place
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2.96Roger Williams University1.560.2%1st Place
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5.63University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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7.77Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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7.79Middlebury College-1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 17.6% | 18.2% | 19.0% | 19.7% | 13.9% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 25.8% | 24.3% | 22.3% | 14.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Polek | 19.6% | 18.3% | 19.7% | 19.5% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jane Matthews | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 16.2% | 20.6% | 22.0% | 11.1% | 2.8% |
| Ethan Burt | 23.5% | 22.8% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lund | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 16.8% | 22.5% | 20.2% | 13.1% | 3.2% |
| Marshall Rodes | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 14.0% | 21.4% | 25.2% | 17.0% | 5.6% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 11.7% | 29.0% | 43.3% |
| Dalyan Yet | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 11.9% | 27.9% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.