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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+7.69vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.44+8.52vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.79+5.57vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+4.21vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.40+1.30vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.42+3.97vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.68-1.84vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.37-0.53vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.85+2.38vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.30-0.91vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-1.83vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.28-5.13vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.16-5.45vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.48-7.75vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.52-0.15vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.00-4.28vs Predicted
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17Florida State University0.37-3.27vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.26-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.135.3%1st Place
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10.52George Washington University1.443.6%1st Place
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8.57Cornell University1.795.9%1st Place
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8.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.055.2%1st Place
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6.3Roger Williams University2.4010.2%1st Place
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9.97University of Rhode Island1.424.5%1st Place
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5.16Tulane University2.6813.8%1st Place
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7.47Brown University2.377.0%1st Place
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11.38Eckerd College0.852.6%1st Place
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9.09Webb Institute1.305.1%1st Place
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9.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.624.3%1st Place
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6.87U. S. Naval Academy2.289.0%1st Place
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7.55University of Pennsylvania2.167.5%1st Place
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6.25Harvard University2.4811.1%1st Place
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14.85Connecticut College0.520.9%1st Place
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11.72Northeastern University1.002.0%1st Place
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13.73Florida State University0.371.2%1st Place
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15.49University of Michigan-0.260.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Anderson | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Christian Ebbin | 13.8% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 4.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| William Kulas | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Jack Welburn | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 22.4% | 28.3% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 4.6% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 18.8% | 14.2% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 18.0% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.