Race 8A

maisa-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Marissa Lihan 4.8% 6.7% 7.1% 9.1% 10.9% 11.9% 15.0% 15.6% 11.5% 6.8% 0.6%
Megan Magill 15.0% 14.2% 16.7% 14.8% 13.9% 10.5% 8.0% 4.3% 2.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Ryann Hall 3.1% 2.8% 3.5% 4.8% 5.1% 8.0% 9.8% 12.6% 18.7% 27.6% 4.0%
Stephanie Roble 13.3% 12.9% 14.6% 16.2% 14.8% 9.1% 8.8% 6.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Caroline Patten 12.3% 13.1% 14.3% 12.1% 13.7% 12.7% 8.9% 7.6% 3.4% 1.9% 0.0%
Sydney Bolger 30.0% 24.5% 17.9% 10.4% 7.5% 5.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Johnson 6.3% 6.7% 5.8% 10.0% 10.3% 12.5% 14.6% 12.7% 12.5% 7.4% 1.2%
Lauren Turner 8.5% 12.4% 11.8% 14.0% 11.2% 13.2% 10.8% 10.2% 5.8% 2.0% 0.1%
Meredith Carroll 3.5% 3.7% 3.0% 4.7% 6.3% 8.0% 11.2% 14.2% 19.2% 21.6% 4.6%
Melissa Bermudez 2.7% 3.0% 5.1% 3.6% 5.8% 8.0% 8.9% 14.5% 20.0% 24.4% 4.0%
Jessie Shifalo 0.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 3.0% 7.3% 85.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.