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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+2.32vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.84+0.73vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.56-0.01vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.41-0.87vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+0.94vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.67+1.76vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.13-1.29vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.12-2.36vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.68-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
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2.73University of Rhode Island1.840.2%1st Place
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2.99Roger Williams University1.560.2%1st Place
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3.13University of Rhode Island1.410.2%1st Place
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5.94University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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7.76Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
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5.71University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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5.64Fairfield University-0.120.0%1st Place
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7.79Middlebury College-1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 18.2% | 18.4% | 18.5% | 18.8% | 14.6% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 25.0% | 26.2% | 20.9% | 15.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 23.6% | 21.1% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| John Polek | 20.3% | 18.6% | 20.9% | 19.6% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marshall Rodes | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 19.3% | 22.7% | 16.0% | 6.9% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 31.2% | 40.8% |
| Sean Lund | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 12.9% | 3.7% |
| Jane Matthews | 4.6% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 16.0% | 20.9% | 23.2% | 11.8% | 3.7% |
| Dalyan Yet | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 13.4% | 26.4% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.