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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.50+1.30vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.60+1.65vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.55-0.79vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.68-0.22vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.83+1.29vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-0.93-1.83vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.23-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.3%1st Place
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3.65University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
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2.21University of Washington0.550.4%1st Place
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3.78Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Oregon-2.830.0%1st Place
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4.17Oregon State University-0.930.1%1st Place
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5.6University of Oregon-2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 33.4% | 29.7% | 19.0% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Henry Stier | 10.7% | 13.4% | 21.2% | 22.5% | 21.1% | 9.2% | 1.9% |
| Benjamin Luu | 35.2% | 30.5% | 19.4% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 9.7% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 21.9% | 24.4% | 11.1% | 1.7% |
| ella notdurft | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 20.9% | 62.8% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 7.6% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 21.9% | 25.2% | 16.2% | 5.0% |
| John Kish | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 40.3% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.