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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.50+1.28vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.55+0.19vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.60+0.67vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.68-0.22vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-0.93-0.85vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-2.23-0.27vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.83-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.4%1st Place
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2.19University of Washington0.550.4%1st Place
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3.67University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.78Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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4.15Oregon State University-0.930.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Oregon-2.230.0%1st Place
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6.2University of Oregon-2.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 35.1% | 27.0% | 19.4% | 12.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Luu | 35.6% | 30.1% | 19.5% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Stier | 9.7% | 14.1% | 21.9% | 21.5% | 21.7% | 9.2% | 1.9% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 9.8% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 21.3% | 24.5% | 10.8% | 2.2% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 6.7% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 21.4% | 24.4% | 16.6% | 4.9% |
| John Kish | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 14.4% | 37.1% | 32.8% |
| ella notdurft | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 23.9% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.