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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.68+2.73vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.55+0.20vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University-0.93+1.12vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.60-0.27vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.50-2.69vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-2.23-0.27vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.83-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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2.2University of Washington0.550.4%1st Place
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4.12Oregon State University-0.930.1%1st Place
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3.73University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
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2.31California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.3%1st Place
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5.73University of Oregon-2.230.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Oregon-2.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 10.4% | 14.3% | 18.5% | 23.2% | 19.6% | 10.8% | 3.2% |
| Benjamin Luu | 35.9% | 29.5% | 20.0% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 7.8% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 20.1% | 27.6% | 14.6% | 4.5% |
| Henry Stier | 10.6% | 12.6% | 19.0% | 22.7% | 22.8% | 10.5% | 1.8% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 32.0% | 29.6% | 20.5% | 12.3% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| John Kish | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 38.5% | 32.3% |
| ella notdurft | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 23.5% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.