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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University-0.93+3.10vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.60+1.64vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.55-0.80vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.50-1.72vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.68-1.13vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-2.23-0.27vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.83-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1Oregon State University-0.930.1%1st Place
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3.64University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
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2.2University of Washington0.550.3%1st Place
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2.28California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.4%1st Place
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3.87Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Oregon-2.230.0%1st Place
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6.17University of Oregon-2.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassius Tossavainen | 8.1% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 19.1% | 25.9% | 16.6% | 4.2% |
| Henry Stier | 10.1% | 15.1% | 20.8% | 21.2% | 21.7% | 9.3% | 1.8% |
| Benjamin Luu | 34.8% | 30.6% | 19.4% | 10.7% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 35.3% | 26.0% | 20.3% | 12.9% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 7.9% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 24.3% | 22.1% | 11.1% | 3.7% |
| John Kish | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 14.9% | 36.8% | 32.8% |
| ella notdurft | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 24.4% | 57.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.