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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.68+2.74vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.60+1.62vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University-0.93+1.12vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.55-1.74vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.23+0.74vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.50-3.68vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.83-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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3.62University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.12Oregon State University-0.930.1%1st Place
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2.26University of Washington0.550.3%1st Place
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5.74University of Oregon-2.230.0%1st Place
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2.32California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.3%1st Place
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6.19University of Oregon-2.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 10.8% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 22.6% | 21.9% | 10.7% | 2.6% |
| Henry Stier | 11.0% | 14.8% | 20.4% | 21.2% | 21.7% | 9.2% | 1.7% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 9.5% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 20.8% | 28.0% | 14.6% | 4.7% |
| Benjamin Luu | 33.8% | 29.4% | 19.1% | 12.8% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Kish | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 12.5% | 39.9% | 32.6% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 31.9% | 29.4% | 21.2% | 11.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| ella notdurft | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 23.2% | 58.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.