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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.50+1.30vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.68+1.74vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.60+0.65vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-0.93+0.13vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.55-2.77vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-2.23-0.25vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.83-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.3%1st Place
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3.74Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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3.65University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.13Oregon State University-0.930.1%1st Place
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2.23University of Washington0.550.4%1st Place
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5.75University of Oregon-2.230.0%1st Place
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6.2University of Oregon-2.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 33.5% | 29.4% | 19.6% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 10.3% | 12.1% | 20.2% | 23.5% | 21.1% | 10.4% | 2.4% |
| Henry Stier | 10.1% | 14.5% | 20.3% | 23.6% | 20.4% | 9.0% | 2.1% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 7.6% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 20.9% | 26.7% | 17.1% | 3.5% |
| Benjamin Luu | 35.3% | 29.0% | 19.9% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| John Kish | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 14.3% | 37.6% | 33.2% |
| ella notdurft | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 23.7% | 58.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.