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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.50+1.29vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.68+1.73vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.55-0.79vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.60-0.31vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-0.93-0.83vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-2.23-0.27vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.83-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.3%1st Place
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3.73Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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2.21University of Washington0.550.4%1st Place
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3.69University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.17Oregon State University-0.930.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Oregon-2.230.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Oregon-2.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 33.4% | 30.0% | 18.1% | 12.6% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 10.0% | 12.4% | 21.6% | 21.7% | 21.6% | 10.4% | 2.3% |
| Benjamin Luu | 35.8% | 28.9% | 20.3% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Henry Stier | 10.5% | 14.5% | 18.7% | 21.9% | 22.5% | 9.7% | 2.2% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 6.8% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 22.0% | 25.4% | 16.6% | 4.6% |
| John Kish | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 7.9% | 13.8% | 37.4% | 32.9% |
| ella notdurft | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 23.7% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.