← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy0.50+1.24vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington-0.60+1.62vs Predicted
-
3Oregon State University-0.93+1.13vs Predicted
-
4University of Oregon-2.23+1.77vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington0.55-2.75vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-0.68-2.21vs Predicted
-
7University of Oregon-2.83-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.24California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.4%1st Place
-
3.62University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
-
4.13Oregon State University-0.930.1%1st Place
-
5.77University of Oregon-2.230.0%1st Place
-
2.25University of Washington0.550.3%1st Place
-
3.79Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
-
6.2University of Oregon-2.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 35.1% | 29.8% | 18.5% | 11.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Henry Stier | 10.8% | 14.1% | 20.5% | 23.8% | 19.9% | 9.2% | 1.7% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 7.6% | 8.4% | 17.3% | 20.8% | 26.0% | 15.4% | 4.5% |
| John Kish | 1.0% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 13.3% | 38.8% | 33.0% |
| Benjamin Luu | 34.0% | 31.2% | 17.1% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 10.4% | 12.3% | 18.7% | 21.6% | 23.0% | 11.9% | 2.1% |
| ella notdurft | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 22.7% | 58.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.