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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-1.20+2.23vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-1.01+0.89vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.01-1.21vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.38-0.61vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy-2.64-0.06vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-2.47-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23University of Washington-1.200.1%1st Place
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2.89Western Washington University-1.010.2%1st Place
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1.79University of Washington0.010.5%1st Place
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3.39University of Oregon-1.380.1%1st Place
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4.94California Poly Maritime Academy-2.640.0%1st Place
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4.77Oregon State University-2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren McClintock | 13.2% | 19.7% | 23.4% | 24.3% | 13.6% | 5.8% |
| Anna Morrow | 17.6% | 27.2% | 20.9% | 20.8% | 10.3% | 3.2% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 51.1% | 27.6% | 14.3% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Sadie Creemer | 12.4% | 15.4% | 22.8% | 25.6% | 17.9% | 5.9% |
| Julia Mast | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 27.0% | 46.3% |
| Aaron Heard | 2.7% | 5.6% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 29.7% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.