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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-1.20+2.18vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.01-0.18vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.01-0.12vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.38-0.61vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy-2.64-0.04vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-2.47-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18University of Washington-1.200.1%1st Place
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1.82University of Washington0.010.5%1st Place
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2.88Western Washington University-1.010.2%1st Place
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3.39University of Oregon-1.380.1%1st Place
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4.96California Poly Maritime Academy-2.640.0%1st Place
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4.78Oregon State University-2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren McClintock | 14.4% | 20.4% | 22.7% | 23.7% | 12.8% | 6.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 50.9% | 26.6% | 14.2% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Anna Morrow | 18.1% | 25.0% | 23.2% | 20.6% | 11.0% | 2.1% |
| Sadie Creemer | 10.9% | 17.2% | 23.1% | 25.6% | 17.4% | 5.8% |
| Julia Mast | 2.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 27.8% | 46.6% |
| Aaron Heard | 3.3% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 29.2% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.