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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-1.20+2.19vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.01-0.17vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.01-0.10vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy-2.64+0.87vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-2.47-0.19vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-1.38-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of Washington-1.200.1%1st Place
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1.83University of Washington0.010.5%1st Place
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2.9Western Washington University-1.010.2%1st Place
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4.87California Poly Maritime Academy-2.640.0%1st Place
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4.81Oregon State University-2.470.0%1st Place
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3.39University of Oregon-1.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren McClintock | 14.1% | 20.4% | 23.2% | 22.7% | 14.1% | 5.5% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 50.3% | 26.6% | 14.8% | 6.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Anna Morrow | 17.6% | 24.4% | 23.9% | 21.1% | 10.3% | 2.7% |
| Julia Mast | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 26.8% | 44.4% |
| Aaron Heard | 2.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 28.8% | 40.8% |
| Sadie Creemer | 11.6% | 17.4% | 22.5% | 23.5% | 18.9% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.