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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-1.20+2.19vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.01-0.17vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.01-0.10vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-2.47+0.71vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy-2.64-0.02vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-1.38-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of Washington-1.200.1%1st Place
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1.83University of Washington0.010.5%1st Place
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2.9Western Washington University-1.010.2%1st Place
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4.71Oregon State University-2.470.0%1st Place
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4.98California Poly Maritime Academy-2.640.0%1st Place
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3.39University of Oregon-1.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren McClintock | 14.5% | 19.7% | 23.0% | 23.7% | 13.4% | 5.7% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 50.2% | 27.2% | 14.0% | 7.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Anna Morrow | 17.5% | 24.3% | 24.5% | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.8% |
| Aaron Heard | 4.3% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 30.7% | 36.7% |
| Julia Mast | 2.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 25.0% | 48.7% |
| Sadie Creemer | 11.4% | 17.7% | 22.5% | 23.1% | 19.7% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.