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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-1.20+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-1.38+1.33vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University-2.47+1.68vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy-2.64+0.91vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.01-1.97vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.01-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of Washington-1.200.1%1st Place
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3.33University of Oregon-1.380.1%1st Place
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4.68Oregon State University-2.470.1%1st Place
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4.91California Poly Maritime Academy-2.640.0%1st Place
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3.03Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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1.84University of Washington0.010.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren McClintock | 13.2% | 20.5% | 24.2% | 21.9% | 15.3% | 4.9% |
| Sadie Creemer | 14.1% | 17.4% | 21.6% | 22.5% | 17.1% | 7.3% |
| Aaron Heard | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 28.3% | 37.8% |
| Julia Mast | 2.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 14.5% | 24.7% | 46.1% |
| Anna Morrow | 14.5% | 25.6% | 22.6% | 20.7% | 12.8% | 3.8% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 50.4% | 25.0% | 16.8% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.