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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.01+0.84vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-1.20+1.14vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University-2.47+1.71vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.38-0.64vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.01-1.97vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy-2.64-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84University of Washington0.010.5%1st Place
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3.14University of Washington-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.71Oregon State University-2.470.0%1st Place
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3.36University of Oregon-1.380.1%1st Place
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3.03Western Washington University-1.010.2%1st Place
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4.92California Poly Maritime Academy-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Delasanta | 50.0% | 27.1% | 13.8% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Lauren McClintock | 14.2% | 22.3% | 23.5% | 19.6% | 15.7% | 4.7% |
| Aaron Heard | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 28.1% | 38.8% |
| Sadie Creemer | 12.6% | 16.7% | 21.4% | 27.1% | 16.2% | 6.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 15.3% | 23.3% | 24.6% | 20.7% | 12.2% | 3.9% |
| Julia Mast | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 26.0% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.